Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.264140 0.307704 0.355875 0.413046 0.479004 0.552672 0.641153
2025-04-13 0.184069 0.239980 0.308656 0.399009 0.514551 0.657144 0.846280
2025-04-20 0.147279 0.208193 0.288856 0.403050 0.560082 0.767924 1.063351
2025-04-27 0.128513 0.194019 0.286208 0.424668 0.626497 0.908972 1.333173
2025-05-04 0.112326 0.179618 0.279484 0.437373 0.679415 1.034847 1.594380
2025-05-11 0.097825 0.164790 0.269053 0.441687 0.718560 1.142970 1.839737
2025-05-18 0.084920 0.150104 0.256181 0.439437 0.745762 1.234078 2.066994
2025-05-25 0.073712 0.136310 0.242479 0.433309 0.764807 1.312792 2.281114
2025-06-01 0.064912 0.125241 0.231608 0.430014 0.787261 1.398093 2.513444
2025-06-08 0.055908 0.112389 0.215771 0.415617 0.788069 1.445824 2.685071
2025-06-15 0.053704 0.111975 0.222239 0.442234 0.864910 1.632931 3.120342
2025-06-22 0.046806 0.101341 0.208131 0.428235 0.864520 1.680707 3.306480
2025-06-29 0.040596 0.091337 0.194220 0.413377 0.861720 1.725497 3.495505
2025-07-06 0.035369 0.082647 0.181844 0.400100 0.860607 1.773655 3.696984
2025-07-13 0.032404 0.078435 0.178140 0.404190 0.894969 1.894160 4.053150
2025-07-20 0.031201 0.078023 0.182459 0.425869 0.968390 2.100068 4.602881
2025-07-27 0.029391 0.075911 0.182736 0.438609 1.023870 2.274247 5.103568
2025-08-03 0.027166 0.072457 0.179503 0.442934 1.061108 2.413316 5.542768
2025-08-10 0.024763 0.068183 0.173780 0.440679 1.082983 2.520937 5.923257
2025-08-17 0.022395 0.063638 0.166808 0.434534 1.095021 2.607751 6.265493
2025-08-24 0.020438 0.059882 0.161288 0.431229 1.113341 2.710281 6.653129
2025-08-31 0.018138 0.054830 0.151822 0.416793 1.102828 2.745066 6.886280
2025-09-07 0.017966 0.055756 0.158009 0.443483 1.197781 3.037242 7.758144